Bush had nothing to do with the impetus for our protests in Lebanon.
He was the reason we went to bed afterward.
We came to the streets because one of our greatest leaders, the man who rebuilt our capital and brought Lebanon international prominence, was assassinated.
Former Prime Minister Rafiq al-Hariri was gearing up for a political campaign that he would have won. That mortified the ensconced. The country was expecting Hariri to emerge out of the elections a massive victor taking the majority of Parliament and being able to make decisions that went against Syria. He was killed.
Some have argued that Hariri was willing to advance against Syria after the unconstitutional reappointment of Syria's favorite Lebanese Christian, President Emile Lahoud, because of America's invasion in Iraq.
This is not the case. The reappointment of Lahoud was a tragic event in the political history of Lebanon because Syria forced something on us that absolutely no one wanted. Hezbollah likes Lahoud and went along with it, but no one in Lebanon was suggesting that an extension of Lahoud's mandate was the best option, or even a good one.
Even before the extension, Hariri had met with French President Chirac and had liasons with Washington to make sure he still had their support. Hariri was like a son to King Fahd of Saudi Arabia, and he has always been close to Western nations. Hariri wanted Syria to give him more control in the country, and they wouldn't do it. He felt the time had come for him to make the next big move.
He was killed.
We flocked to the streets because we revere the man, believe in Lebanese sovereignty, and want our country free of foreign troops.
We have marched on many occassions before this. Lebanon may be a corrupted democracy, but we still have the right to march and speak our minds to varying extents.
We would have marched no matter what.
We walked in front of soldiers with guns. We hugged them. And then we stomped through the barbed wire they placed. Our brothers and fathers in Lebanon's mandatory conscription Army would not fire on us no matter who gave the order.
We marched to honor the bravery of Hariri.
He was not thinking about Iraq when he went against Syria because he already knew he had American support. When we came to the streets we were not thinking about Iraq or America.
We came for our country alone.
Where Iraq was significant was in Syria's departure.
Bush's Iraq campaign may not have had an effect on us, but it sure had an effect on Syria.
Would Syria have exited Lebanon without American pressure and proof that Bush means what he says in the Middle East? Probably not.
Would Syria have left so quickly? Definitely not.
Would Syrian soldiers have moved into place to crack down on Lebanese citizens? Probably.
Would we have fought them? Definitely.
Would this have caused a war? Quite likely.
Bush, Chirac, and the example of the Iraq War saved us from disaster. We were saved from incredible pain and a return to constant calamity.
No doubt, Bush, the American Embassy, Assistant Secretary of State William Burns, and State Department official and former US Ambassador to Lebanon Satterfield are responsible for saving Lebanese lives and gaining us our freedom.
I would like to say we are indebted to them, which we are for saving our lives and ridding us of the Syrian menace. But we are reminded of how we got into this situation in the first place.
We are indebted to the sons of America who lost their lives trying to bring peace to our country in 1982. They died trying to help us.
However, we remember 1990 when the US gave Syria the green light to enter our country with no assigned exit date. The US gave the Syrian military the go-ahead to take our sovereignty in order to gain Syria's support for the 1991.
Was it worth it for America to trade our freedom for Kuwait's? Yes, for America. But it left us doubly depressed 1) for realizing we are not worth as much as a backward, monarchic oil state; and 2) because it meant our enslavement to Syrian masters.
What I am now thankful for is America's post-Cold War strategy of reconciling its realist, realpolitik past. It started with Noriaga and will hopefully contine in Uzbekistan, North Korea, Togo, Equitorial Guinea, Tunisia, Molodova and the Transdniester, Turkmenistan, Myanmar, and on.
We give Bush credit for implementing our revolution, but he did not start it.
Bush's words and UN Resolutions would have meant nothing without Hariri starting and us continuing our own revolution.
Thursday, May 19, 2005
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21 comments:
Wow! Very nicely balanced. The Bush doctrine to support Freedom over stability has given me the huge hope that I may live to see...a World Without Dictators.
I'm really happy for you and Lebanon that Syria left w/o war. I'm afraid that Uzbekistan may show the Bush doctrine still pretty weak. I'm hopeful the end of May elections in Lebanon go off well!
Lebanon's freedom does not depend on America or any American President. The Lebanese have the moral obligation, and the ability, to democratrize Lebanon, whether or not America is in a position to help. I am thankful that America and President Bush have helped Lebanon remove the Syrian forces that slowed democratic development. I hope American will be able to continue to provide that assistance. But in the end, Lebanon will need to close the deal. themselves.
What you said in such an eloquent way was the essence of a democratic revolution. Anybody leader, nation-state, or political group can play realpolitik to promote democracy or hurt it. Bush did what he thought was in the best interest of his country as did Chirac. But the key is the people themselves. They are the ones who initiate it, sustain it, and make it their own future. The history of democracy is one where people decided for themselves what they wanted.
I wish you good luck and great success in this new endeavor. As all democratic nations that have preceeded you have learned, democracy takes hard work and constant vigilance. May you succeed in both.
The combination of state power and will of the people is crucial. Remember Hungary and Chezchoslovakia in the 50's and 60's; plenty of will to be free, but no power available. The words and actions of the U.S. are historic, nothing this strong and meaningful since WWII.
I love the pictures of Lebanese protest babes!
Good piece.
But somehow I just keep coming back to the same conclusion: It was Saddam's fault.
This guy was such bad news. He - i.e. the imperative to contain him - cost us (the US)tremendous prestige, and left a heavy burden on undeserving Lebanon, as well as on Iraq itself. Desperate times most certainly produce desperate measures.
Yet it nonetheless galls me that we were obliged to sit idly by while the Syrian regime had their way in Lebanon, just to honor a bad deal.
Thankfully, the end of the Cold War ebbed the tide of unholy alliances born of the era's political realities. And I believe that the toppling of Saddam has signalled that the ripple has finally reached the Middle East.
So I'm glad the US has apparantly made a couple of solid choices on the side of the opressed in Iraq and Lebanon, and is once again embracing - though cautiously - those Kennedy inaugural ideals I've always admired, ideals which for so long have seemed unattainable, but suddenly seem somehow within reach.
And it is Lebanese and Iraqi courage which has given us (the US)a great opportunity to make those better choices. For that, I am grateful.
Very thoughtful, and quite plausible. The Lebanese started the revolution, and Bush's credibility in the region sealed the deal, so to speak.
Thanks for posting, and best of luck to you and the people of Lebanon.
Never forget how many Democrats and people in Europe would have been thrilled to seen the protestors gunned down and Lebanon falling to bloody war, just so they could feel vindicated for hating Bush.
Never forget how many Democrats and people in Europe supported Saddam and his raping sons, even after they knew about how Saddam would cut off the feet of unsuccessful Olympic runners, just so they could oppose and rail against America and Bush (or as they refer to him Bu$Hilter Chimpy McHalliburton).
Never forget how many Democrats and people in Europe, to this day, do not feel that Arabs and Muslims deserve and can handle democracy, and how Arabs and Muslims are inferior to Western civilisation
And don't forget the UN, *the world*
We didn't finish off Saddam because of "stability."
*The world* wants "stability."
Sandy P
Excellent post. Please keep giving us your views on a very complex situation.
Bush would never have let the Syrians pull a "Hama" in Lebanon, and that was all the assurance the Lebanese needed to be able to take back their own freedom.
We may say that Bush made it possible and the Lebanese made it actually happen.
I'm so happy for Lebanon right now I could cry. But, there are still formidable obstacles. I pray it all works out right.
Good comment by Mark. So much of what most Americans wanted to do in the world had to be put on hold because of the Cold War, and the damn silly and evil philosophy that says a party elite have the right to impose the ordering of society.
To the other Anonynmous, don't blame all Democrats. They're not all evil, most are just clueless.
And, to Sandy, right on! Why defend the status quo when the status quo sucks?
I am glad for all the things that are happening in your country and hope that you are able to continue your march to freedom. But I would like to add that while you are being thankful for Bush et al, please remember that your thanks should also go first to the American soldiers, Marines, and sailors...and then to the American taxpayer...we hope some day you will return the favor.
Mr.K: They can return the favor by becoming a free democracy and being a good example to others in the region.
As an American, I was thoroughly pissed off at President George Bush's cynicism of allowing the Syrian occupation of Lebanon in the run up to the Gulf War. Secretary of State's cynical slogan that the '90 Gulf War was about "jobs, jobs, jobs" was also crummy.
I'm glad President George W Bush is making up for that mistake of his father. I'm proud that American power is helping Lebanon regain its sovereignty and I hope freedom for the amazing people of Lebanon.
I was a UN peace-keeping soldier in Ebel-es-Saqi in 1988. It looked pretty wartorn, I have to say, and I felt sad for the situation of this charming country.
Now I am very happy and impressed to see the development and courage of young Lebanese, to take the country into a better future. I am also impressed by the blogs and your analysis. Congrats and good luck!!!
KH
Realistically, this was all about confirming the "Tipping Point" theory: Hariri's death was the tipping point. Everything else was just factors and conditions:
- US/Bush position
- Lebanese were fed-up
- Hariri was plotting already
- UN 1559
- Syria was abusing Lebanon
- Syria Accountability Act
- Iraq
- France/Chirac
- etc.
We got lucky in an unfortunate turn of events, but even if Hariri had not been murdered (as LP eluded to), the Lebanese with Hariri, were getting geared up to increase the pressure of getting Syria out. If Hariri had not been murdered, the US would have probably used a heavier hand to push this process. But they didn't have to, because Hariri's death sparked the fire that was already brewing.
i totally agree. it makes me furious when people in the us, europe etc. say that the independence intifada only came about bc the lebanese people were "inspired" by images of iraqis voting. it's not only incorrect, its condescending, undermining, and racist!
iraq "inspired" bashar, perhaps, and his boys in lebanon. but i believe his behaviour was mainly "inspired" the intense international pressure (from many countries) and the foreign media obsession with lebanon following 14 feb. and of course, a quarter of the lebanese population protesting against him in place des martyres didn't hurt either!!!
L.P, this was an insightful post and a clear, clean analysis. Keep up the great work.
Listen, Michael Totten. You don't understand Lebanon and you never will. You are just an idiot who put up a webpage trying to be somebody.
To you, and to all Anglo-Saxons, leave us alone and stop taking sides.
Anonymous,
I don't know what you're talking about.
This isn't Michael Totten's webpage. Totten's a great guy, anyway. He met with a lot of people when he was here.
Your racism is disgusting. Cut it out.
Thanks to all the Leboneese people for your courage. I pray you will be blessed with wisdom as you build a government to match the civilized, tolerant disposition of your people.
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